Bogdan Bogdanovic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 10:23 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 1.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
While playing on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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