Bogdan Bogdanovic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 1.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 28.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 77th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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