Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs New York Knicks · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three in all games this season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Clippers check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on three-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Knicks, creating a favorable matchup.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 39.2% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic registers in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Clippers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Clippers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).
The LA Clippers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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