Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2025

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 18, 2025

Updated Jan 19, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 2nd-best in the NBA when playing on the road with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 90.7% of his free throw attempts this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted just 6.5 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.1 mark last year.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance for all stats.

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