Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 51.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 8.6% more than he's converted in all games this year away from home.
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 9th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Spurs).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out best in the NBA while playing away from home with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted a mere 6.5 3-pointers per game this season, significantly lower than his 8.1 mark last season.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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