Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic rates in the 96th percentile for three-point attempts away from his home court, compiling 7.7 per game since the start of last season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 30.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should increase opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic rates in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.3 fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season.
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 10th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Hawks.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have averaged 45.8% on field goal attempts (24th-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers, making this a positive matchup.
Over the last 9 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has attempted 21.3 foul shots per game (22nd-most in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it easy to draw fouls.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance for all stats.