Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/17/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 17, 2024

Updated Apr 18, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.1 3-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 6.6 rate last season.
Among all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 30.4 minutes per game this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in the league when playing on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic ranks in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.3 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games as the away team.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 23.9% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Hawks are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production across the board.

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