Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 13, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.2 three-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 6.6 mark last season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out best in the NBA away from their home court with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
As it relates to offense, the Hawks's subpar 45.2% field goal rate away from their home court measures as the 4th-lowest in the league this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-weakest in the league) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player production for all stats.

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