Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.1 3-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 6.6 rate last season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has played 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 8.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.5 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, creating a strong matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Atlanta Hawks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hornets).

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