Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 3, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has registered 24.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's registered overall this season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.1 threes per game this season, a big improvement over his 6.6 mark last season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's played overall this year.
The Hawks will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pistons).
The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic ranks in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game while at home this year.
The matchup against the Pistons is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (27.6%).
The 10th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

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