Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 1, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has put up 22.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's put up over the course of the year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.2 threes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 6.6 mark last season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has played 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
The 7th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic ranks in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.3 fouls per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 23.9% on 3-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Bulls, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Hawks.
Bogdan Bogdanovic ought to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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