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Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 13.9 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit more than his 11.1 mark last year.

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.2 threes per game this season, a big improvement over his 6.6 rate last season.

Bogdan Bogdanovic has played 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.2 more than he's played in all games this year at home.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic will likely see an increase in efficiency across the board considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bogdan Bogdanovic has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have shot 38.1% on field goal attempts (4th-weakest in the league) vs. the Celtics, marking this as a difficult matchup.

The Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Hawks.

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, struggling to draw fouls.

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