Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 27, 2024 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 13.9 field goals per game this year, a big improvement over his 11.1 mark last year.
Relative to last year's 6.6 mark, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shots from behind the three-point arc have risen this year to 8.2 per game.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 29.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a favorable one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the highest Field Goal% in the league this year (51.5%).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic ranks in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game at home this year.
In regard to offense, the Atlanta Hawks's lackluster 46.6% field goal rate places 10th-weakest in the league this year.
The Hawks have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Trail Blazers).

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