Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic rates in the 83rd percentile, averaging a monstrous 15.8 points per game while playing away from home this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's played overall this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on shots from the field (best in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, branding this as a strong matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 87.8% of his free throws on the road this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Hawks rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The 4th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Hawks.
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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