Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 11.1 mark, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shots have risen this season to 13.9 per game.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.2 threes per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.6 rate last year.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic stands to see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Hawks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a hard one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (9.1).
The Hawks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to decrease plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.1 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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