Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+112/-152).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 11.1 mark, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shots have increased this year to 13.8 per game.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.2 treys per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.6 rate last year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic measures in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.
With respect to shots from downtown, the Hawks's subpar 34.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 4th-lowest in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.7).
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-least in the NBA).

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