Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The matchup against New York is a strong one; when the Knicks have the home court advantage, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (21.5).
The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic ranks in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.3 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The Hawks check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.
The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Hawks.
The matchup vs. New York may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are playing at home (13th-least in the NBA).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.