Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Utah Jazz · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 11.1 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shots have spiked this season to 14.0 per game.
In comparison to last season's 6.6 clip, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 8.4 per game.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 23rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.0).
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Jazz have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should raise opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic rates in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to offense, the Hawks's poor 44.3% field goal rate rates 5th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has snagged 11.8 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

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