Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 11:35 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 11.1 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shots have jumped this year to 14.0 per game.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly higher than his 6.6 mark last year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have posted 20.2 points per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, creating a strong matchup for offensive productivity.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.4 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Hawks have been the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Orlando Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which should decrease possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

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