Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 11.1 clip, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shots from the field have increased this year to 14.0 per game.
Relative to last season's 6.6 clip, Bogdan Bogdanovic's three-point attempts have surged this season to 8.4 per game.
The quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 19.8 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (82nd percentile).
As it relates to shots from downtown, the Atlanta Hawks's lackluster 33.3% rate of made threes places 4th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Raptors have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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