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Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+102/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 11.1 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shots have increased this season to 14.0 per game.

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 6.6 mark last season.

The fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, the other team has captured 7.4 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.

In terms of treys, the Hawks's subpar 35.4% rate of made threes while on their home court settles in as the 5th-worst in the league over the last 15 games.

This matchup is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; their opposition has totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (39.0).

The Atlanta Hawks are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

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