Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 7, 2024

Updated Feb 8, 2024 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 51.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one for threes; opposing teams have compiled the lowest three rate in the league over the last 25 games (32.9%).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.8 3-point attempts per game (27th-most in the league) against the Celtics, branding this as a good matchup.
The fastest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Boston Celtics have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Boston may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are playing at home (15th-least in the league).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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