Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs LA Clippers · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 6, 2024 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 13.7 shots per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Relative to last year's 6.6 mark, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this year to 8.5 per game.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have totaled 111.3 points per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, creating a hard matchup for offensive productivity.
The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games at home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic places in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to 3-point shots, the Hawks's unimpressive 34.7% rate of successful threes at home comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have secured 13.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Clippers (retaining possessions that can bring about further chances for offense).
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Clippers are the visiting team, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 22.8 free throws per game over the last 25 games (7th-most in the league).