Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has posted 21.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's posted overall this season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.4 threes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 6.6 mark last year.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic ranks in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.3 fouls per game at home this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a positive one; they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (124.9).
This matchup is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Warriors are away from home, the other team has attempted a colossal 28.2 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

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