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Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Phoenix Suns

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 50.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.5% more than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage.

This matchup is a tough one for field goals; when the Phoenix Suns are away from home, the other team has posted the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA against them this year (46.1%).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile).

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Hawks's subpar 33.6% rate of successful threes measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have captured 12.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns (preserving possessions that can spark further chances for offense).

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