Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 30, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit more than his 6.6 mark last season.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Lakers).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic measures in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
In terms of 3-pointers, the Hawks's unimpressive 33.5% rate of drained threes places fewest in the league over the last 20 games.
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have captured 11.1 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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