Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 11.1 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's field goal attempts have increased this year to 14.0 per game.
In comparison to last year's 6.6 clip, Bogdan Bogdanovic's 3-point attempts have surged this year to 8.4 per game.
Over the last 10 games, their opposition has averaged 35.5% on threes (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Atlanta Hawks will likely get a boost in possessions today from facing the 2nd-fastest tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
In terms of 3-point shots, the Atlanta Hawks's poor 33.1% rate of drained threes settles in as the worst in the league over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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