Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has shot and missed 5.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly more than his 3.9 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Hawks rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 26.2 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.