Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic comes in at the 84th percentile for shots at home, compiling 13.8 per game this year.
Relative to last year's 6.6 mark, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this year to 8.7 per game.
The quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Orlando Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).
When it comes to shots from downtown, the Atlanta Hawks's feeble 32.5% rate of made threes places 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Magic have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Hawks.
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, the other team has attempted a monstrous 23.1 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (6th-most in the league).

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