Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 8:37 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 16.5 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.7 treys per game this year, quite a bit more than his 6.6 mark last year.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic ranks in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have totaled 14.8 threes per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Spurs, designating this as a favorable matchup.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has attempted 23.6 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

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