Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 10.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a challenging one for three-point attempts; their opposition has tallied the fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (28.6).
The speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic rates in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to 3-point shots, the Hawks's poor 33.4% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Over the last 15 games, the other team has come down with 11.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).
This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a massive 27.6 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

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