Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has registered 22.2 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.5 more than he's registered in all games this year at home.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 10.1 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have totaled 85.6 field goal attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the 76ers, making this a hard matchup.
The 3rd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
With respect to treys, the Atlanta Hawks's poor 32.4% rate of successful threes ranks 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Hawks.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have nabbed 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers (lengthening possessions that can generate added chances for offense).
This year, the other team has attempted 23.9 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the 76ers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

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