Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 18.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
In comparison to last year's 2.7 clip, Bogdan Bogdanovic's three-pointers made have risen this year to 3.3 per game.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Magic).
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Hawks's unimpressive 46.2% field goal rate measures as the 6th-lowest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have attempted 27.6 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, easily managing to draw fouls.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production across the board.

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