Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 18.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.1 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 10.6 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
This year, their opposition has averaged 27.6 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).

Favors Under

The Hawks rank as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive boards per game (most in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (preserving possessions that can spark extra chances for offense).
This matchup is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 27.7 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen stat production across the board.

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