Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 18.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 11.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have tallied 38.6 field goals per game (fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a hard matchup.
The Hawks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Atlanta Hawks.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic comes in at the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a colossal 27.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

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