Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 8:18 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 11.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Hawks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 15thbest in in the NBA while playing on the road with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 89.6% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 7.9% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic comes in at the 75th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; their opposition has attempted an enormous 25.1 free throws per game over the last 25 games (5th-most in the NBA).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will likely suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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