Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 18.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 10.4 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Hawks are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Kings).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).
This matchup is a positive one for threes; opposing clubs have put up the 10th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (37.5%).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Kings are away from home, the other team has attempted an enormous 26.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the NBA).

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