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Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

 
 
 
Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic rates in the 82nd percentile for field goal attempts on the road, compiling 13.3 per game this year.
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 4.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
  • The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road.
  • The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
  • This matchup is a good one for field goals; when the Miami Heat are at home, their opposition has compiled the highest field goal rate in the NBA against them this year (51.0%).
  • The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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