Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:45 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 13.4 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 11.1 mark last season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk a lowly 3.2 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.7 rate last season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.3 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.7 fouls per game last season.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a strong one for threes; opposing clubs have posted the 4th-highest three rate in the league this year (38.3%).
The Hawks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Bogdan Bogdanovic ought to suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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