Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 39.8% rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's 3-point ability has increased this year to 45.5%.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a positive one for field goals; when the 76ers are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 28th-highest FG% in the league this year (50.0%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Hawks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 13thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 13.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 6.7 mark, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from downtown have dropped this season to 7.4 per game.
The Hawks check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
Bogdan Bogdanovic figures to see a decline in output in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

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