Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has made an impressive 47.2% of his treys this season, quite a bit more than his 39.8 rate last season.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team has shot for the 10th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (46.0%).
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Bucks).
The Hawks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted a lowly 7.4 threes per game this year, significantly lower than his 6.7 mark last year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.7 fouls per game last year.
The Hawks check in as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
While playing on the road, the Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted a lowly 0.6 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 1.8 mark last season.

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