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Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks

 
 
 
Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 2.6 3-point shots per game at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • The 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Hawks.
  • The Hawks will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 11.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
  • Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic measures in the 88th percentile for free-throw effectiveness when playing at home with a a superb 87.9% rate since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league with the home court advantage since the start of last season in regard to three-point attempts.
  • The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Since the start of last season, their opposition has attempted 25.4 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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