Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2023

Updated Apr 27, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 52.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 6.8% more than he's sunk overall this season.
The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (15.1).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.
The Celtics have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Celtics may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (12th-least in the NBA).

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