Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 52.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.0% higher than he's converted overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.1).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
The matchup against Boston may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are away from home (14th-least in the NBA).

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