Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 2.7 three-point shots per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.0).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
The Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hawks.

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