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Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points
Player Prop - 4/18/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

 
 
 
Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+112/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
  • This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are on their home court, their opposition have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (32.3%).
  • The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.
  • The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
  • When playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.

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