Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 2.7 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (108.0).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.5% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.
The Celtics have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player production for all stats.

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