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Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 2.7 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.

This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Heat have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point shots per game in the league against them this year (13.8).

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hawks.

Bogdan Bogdanovic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

More Bogdan Bogdanovic Player Props

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