Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 6.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's made in all games this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Hawks.
Away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a whopping 26.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

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