Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 6.6 treys per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 96.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 8.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year while at home.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
This matchup is a good one for threes; when the Cavaliers are the visiting team, opposing teams have posted the 4th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA against them this year (38.1%).
The Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Hawks.

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